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Thoughts

The world is locked down because of a 14 year old’s science project in 2006

In 2006 a 14 year old kid dreamed up a science fair exhibit for limiting the spread of influenza. The problem is her father was a scientist that built mathematical models and decided to help her with her project. They tried to illustrate how the virus would spread in a population.

It was about that time that Dr. Mecher heard from Robert J. Glass, a senior scientist at Sandia in New Mexico who specialized in building advanced models to explain how complex systems work — and what can cause catastrophic failures.

Dr. Glass’s daughter Laura, then 14, had done a class project in which she built a model of social networks at her Albuquerque high school, and when Dr. Glass looked at it, he was intrigued.

Students are so closely tied together — in social networks and on school buses and in classrooms — that they were a near-perfect vehicle for a contagious disease to spread.

Dr. Glass piggybacked on his daughter’s work to explore with her what effect breaking up these networks would have on knocking down the disease.

The outcome of their research was startling. By closing the schools in a hypothetical town of 10,000 people, only 500 people got sick. If they remained open, half of the population would be infected.

“My God, we could use the same results she has and work from there,” Dr. Glass recalled thinking. He took their preliminary data and built on it by running it through the supercomputers at Sandia, more typically used to engineer nuclear weapons. (His daughter’s project was entered in the Intel International Science and Engineering Fair in 2006.)

New York Times

This lead to a 2007 blueprint of the current world wide police state in which we are all now living under.

The George W. Bush Administration’s initial intention was to use this blueprint in the even of an attack on the U.S. with biological weapons.

The idea of a full lockdown of society in the event of a pandemic first emerged as an extremist proposal in 2006, issued by a computer scientist as part of George W. Bush’s preparations for biowarfare. It provoked a fierce response by the world’s leading epidemiologist Donald Henderson and his colleagues. That proposal, issued by Robert Glass under the influence of his daughter’s high school science fair project (yes, it thanks Neil Ferguson for comments), would sit for 14 years before being deployed in some form during the political panic of March 2020. 

American Institute for Economic Research

Here’s the kicker… the science project on which all this nonsense is based ONLY WON THIRD PRIZE!!

Her project, based on computer simulations of human interaction, impressed the judges enough to win her third place in the medicine and health category at the Intel fair that year.

Albuquerque Journal

Why are we are setting public policy on the notions of children? Adults use children and seemingly plausible and sensible ideas that sound good to achieve their own ends. The education systems of the world teach blind obedience to authority rather than critical thinking. This leads to an ignorant population which leads to an easy subjugation of the population. Your rights were taken away on an unproven whim.

The entire world economy was brought to its knees by the ideas of a 14 year old kid. Yes, the ideas were born from wanting good things for the world. But, as the cliché goes, the road to Hell is paved with good intentions.

Categories
Thoughts

COVID-19 is done in Georgia. Open this place up!

Zero deaths over the last two days. Single digits since the middle of February.

The Atlanta Journal has a COVID-19 Dashboard. It shows that COVID-19 in the State of Georgia is done and has been now since the beginning of February. Open this place up and knock it off with the constant drumbeat about masks. Let’s get back to normal.

The chart above shows the number of deaths reported by the day they occurred. The number of deaths have been in the single digits now since the middle of February. It’s also way below anything experienced in April and May of 2020.

New hospitalizations are also at zero and have largely remained below anything last year since the beginning of February. Also the January peak never reached last summer’s peak.

Confirmed cases are also down. There still is no information with regard to the PCR test cycle threshold being used. I wonder if they lowered the threshold below 35 now instead of the 40 they were using prior to the election.

This thing is over. It’s time to stop the nonsense and go back to living life.

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Technology Thoughts

Mega Testing Diagnostic Platforms

https://twitter.com/BillGates/status/1356374923078369281

Watch your red blood cells citizen good ole Uncle Bill is out to perform mega tests on them and rapidly roll out untested mRNA vaccines and monoclonal antibodies on the world.

To start, there has never been a successfully developed and deployed coronavirus vaccine to humans. The vaccines developed for SARS-CoV-2 are novel vaccines. Nobody truly knows if these vaccines are effective or why.

Why these vaccines seem so effective while previous attempts against other pathogens haven’t appeared as promising remains an open question. One simple reason, according to Liu, might be the sheer volume of resources that were poured into developing them. Liu also hypothesizes that one explanation for the high levels of efficacy is that the vaccines might be triggering a nonspecific inflammatory response to the mRNA that could be heightening its specific immune response, given that the modified nucleoside technique reduced inflammation but hasn’t eliminated it completely. On the flip side, she adds, this may also explain the intense reactions such as aches and fevers reported in some recipients of the mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. (Others have suggested that the lipid nanoparticle is responsible for these severe, but transient, side effects reported in some trial participants.)

Ultimately, it’s too early to say why these vaccines so far appear to work so well. “These do remain interim results. They do remain unpublished. And we still need to see the extensive safety databases associated with these products,” Jackson says. There are also issues to sort out, such as concerns about needing to store the vaccines in freezers—especially in the case of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine, which needs to be kept at –70 °C.

The Scientist

mRNA vaccines have never been approved for humans before. The same approach used in the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine also failed when Moderna used the technique for another illness.

In order to protect mRNA molecules from the body’s natural defenses, drug developers must wrap them in a protective casing. For Moderna, that meant putting its Crigler-Najjar therapy in nanoparticles made of lipids. And for its chemists, those nanoparticles created a daunting challenge: Dose too little, and you don’t get enough enzyme to affect the disease; dose too much, and the drug is too toxic for patients.

From the start, Moderna’s scientists knew that using mRNA to spur protein production would be a tough task, so they scoured the medical literature for diseases that might be treated with just small amounts of additional protein.

“And that list of diseases is very, very short,” said the former employee who described Bancel as needing a Hail Mary.

Crigler-Najjar was the lowest-hanging fruit.

Yet Moderna could not make its therapy work, former employees and collaborators said. The safe dose was too weak, and repeat injections of a dose strong enough to be effective had troubling effects on the liver in animal studies.

statnews.com

Of course this doesn’t mean technology can’t be improved and the problem solved. I would just feel better about it if it went through animal testing before rolled out into humans. It’s already been reported that people that are old, frail, or have severe allergies maybe should not take the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines.

Bill Gates touts that mRNA vaccines are easier to store. Nothing is further from the truth. It’s been widely reported that the Pfizer vaccine requires temperatures so cold as to require special equipment while the Moderna vaccine supposedly can be held at temperatures of a home freezer. Both require special handling however.

Bill calls for a Global Alert System in order rally the troops to tackle the next pandemic. I worry about guys like him promoting programs that require a functioning one world government. You can’t just roll things like this out. You need the permission of nations all over the world. Many of which don’t have the rights of the citizens protected. The U.S. Constitution, while eroding in power, still protects the rights of the individual from an intrusive government. What will citizens of Africa do when this one world government wants to use them as the world’s guinea pigs?

Categories
Thoughts

Silver Lining: COVID-19 killed the seasonal flu

In a shitty year of government authority run amuck and the new religion of “science” (not real science but the science of confirmation bias) taking over the globe it seems there is a silver lining in all of this. The SARS-CoV-2 virus resulting in the dreaded COVID-19 disease has successfully done what no vaccine could. It has virtually killed off the influenza virus.

Here are 2 maps from the CDC. The first is the flu map from this day last year. As you can see we were all dying from the flu.

cdc.gov

The next map is for this year. What a glorious time to be alive! We’re in the green!

cdc.gov

What does the science say about this? Is it possible that most people in the hospital now are really there because of the flu? We won’t know because the news media doesn’t seem to be interested in the question.

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Thoughts

Dr. Fauci and the New York Times confirmed the PCR tests are too sensitive to be considered worth anything

In July of this year Dr. Fauci was on a podcast where they talked about the PCR tests, which are so beloved by the news media, and how a positive test using a cycle threshold of greater than 35 is essentially worthless.

Then, in August of this year the New York Times ran a story about how 90% of the positive PCR tests they analyzed were run at a cycle threshold of 37. Which meant that 90% of the “confirmed cases” had levels of the virus that were not transmissible to anyone.

The PCR test amplifies genetic matter from the virus in cycles; the fewer cycles required, the greater the amount of virus, or viral load, in the sample. The greater the viral load, the more likely the patient is to be contagious.

This number of amplification cycles needed to find the virus, called the cycle threshold, is never included in the results sent to doctors and coronavirus patients, although it could tell them how infectious the patients are.

In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus, a review by The Times found.

On Thursday, the United States recorded 45,604 new coronavirus cases, according to a database maintained by The Times. If the rates of contagiousness in Massachusetts and New York were to apply nationwide, then perhaps only 4,500 of those people may actually need to isolate and submit to contact tracing.

The New York Times

The sources are not crazy conspiracy sources. If these things are true why is this not being covered by all sources of news? Why are we continually locked down and told to wear masks?

The kind of nonsense we’re being sold is what makes people believe in conspiracies. There is no reason for this manufactured COVID crisis to continue. I’m turning the corner on the belief that the serious nature of this pandemic is a hoax. Are people dying? Sure. Have people died? Yes. But, are they dying at the numbers being attributed to COVID-19 or were 90% of the deaths confirmed at cycle thresholds above 35? If that is the case then the world is being lied to on a scale never before seen in the history of man.

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Thoughts

SARS-CoV-2 enters the lungs and attacks our blood vessels

Doctors and scientists are still struggling to figure out what is going on with this virus and why it is killing the people it’s killing. Symptoms are flu-like in the beginning, then pneumonia-like in the middle, but the end result seems to be that those symptoms are deceptive. The virus seems to be causing blood clots and attacking the vascular system.

Months into the pandemic, there is now a growing body of evidence to support the theory that the novel coronavirus can infect blood vessels, which could explain not only the high prevalence of blood clots, strokes, and heart attacks, but also provide an answer for the diverse set of head-to-toe symptoms that have emerged.

“All these Covid-associated complications were a mystery. We see blood clotting, we see kidney damage, we see inflammation of the heart, we see stroke, we see encephalitis [swelling of the brain],” says William Li, MD, president of the Angiogenesis Foundation. “A whole myriad of seemingly unconnected phenomena that you do not normally see with SARS or H1N1 or, frankly, most infectious diseases.”

“If you start to put all of the data together that’s emerging, it turns out that this virus is probably a vasculotropic virus, meaning that it affects the [blood vessels],” says Mandeep Mehra, MD, medical director of the Brigham and Women’s Hospital Heart and Vascular Center.

medium.com
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Thoughts

Contact Tracing Administration – The future federal waste of tax dollars

Let’s count the days until the Department of Health and Human Services has a new division called the Contact Tracing Administration. Or, maybe it will fall under the Department of Homeland Security since virus infiltration into the nation is sure to be a national security threat.

I can see these agents now showing up at our homes with their little uniforms and most assuredly a badge of some sort. They’ll show up at your house because no one answers the phone call from an unfamiliar number.

The idea is to reach out to everyone who has tested positive for the virus, find out whom they might have inadvertently exposed and encourage them all to avoid infecting others. But an army of 180,000 contact tracers provisioned with telephone headsets and scripts does not guarantee that anyone will want to talk to them, much less follow their advice.

New York Times

These people will be the new TSA. They’ll be called Health Security Agents (HSA), Health Security Officers (HSO), or maybe Contact Tracing Administration Agent (CTA Agent). You know they’ll have to have a nifty three letter acronym.

I predict billions of dollars getting wasted so the government can create huge databases of who we are, who our associates are, and where we go. Combine that with the push to go cashless and the government will own you and your bank account.

Don’t think this can happen? I didn’t think the government had the power to designate some businesses essential and some not. I didn’t think they had the power to shut down the entire US economy. I didn’t think they had the power to shut down religious services. Somehow they don’t have the power to do these things but they did them.

Good luck to us.

Categories
Thoughts

Scared of what is not dangerous

We’re now reaping what we have sowed. Anti-bullying, participation trophies, helicopter parents, no keeping score, no more valedictorians, safe spaces, cancel culture, and on and on and on. We’ve been softened to the point where we are scared of things that aren’t dangerous. We have met the boogeyman and he is us.

Imagine if an insurance actuary was so scared of something that she graded it 1,000 times riskier than the data showed. This might be a career-ending mistake. This is exactly what people have done regarding COVID-19: making decisions on fear and not data.

According to CDC data, 81% of deaths from COVID-19 in the United States are people over 65 years old, most with preexisting conditions. If you add in 55-64-year-olds that number jumps to 93%. For those below age 55, preexisting conditions play a significant role, but the death rate is currently around 0.0022%, or one death per 45,000 people in this age range. Below 25 years old the fatality rate of COVID-19 is 0.00008%, or roughly one in 1.25 million, and yet we have shut down all schools and day-care centers, some never to open again! This makes it harder for mothers and fathers to remain employed.

realclearpolitics.com
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Thoughts

Confirmed: SARS-CoV-2 no more infectious than Influenza

I found out about a free course offered by Johns Hopkins University to get certified to be a Contact Tracer. In the course they discuss the basics of the virus and its infectiousness. According to Johns Hopkins University SARS-CoV-2 (which causes the disease COVID-19) is NO MORE INFECTIOUS THAN SEASONAL INFLUENZA (See area circled in red in the slide above). Yes, you read that right. As part of training to become a contact tracer they teach you that you are at no more danger from getting COVID-19 than you are from getting the normal run of the mill average every day FLU.

If this is in fact the case, which I have no doubt that it is because Johns Hopkins University is the authority, what is going to happen to our society when the next flu season rolls around? Or say when a bad flu season rolls around? Do our “experts” and scientists expect the economy to shut down because of this? This is ridiculous.

What is a Contact Tracer anyway? We hear about them in the news all the time as being critical to the nation opening back up and life returning to normal. Well contact tracers are the people that will be intruding into your life to find out where you’ve been and who you associated with under the guise of stopping the spread of SARS-CoV-2.

The people employed as contact tracers aren’t the problem. They will be people like you and me and most likely just people looking for a job. Especially in this time when the government shut everything down. You can be sure a contact tracer’s job will be essential. The problem will be the data they will compile and what happens to it. The data will be a treasure trove of information about where you’ve been, who you associate with, and what you do in your spare time. I don’t know about you but unless we’re dealing with a disease that is like Ebola or a flesh eating bacteria that will kill you in a few days employing these human data miners is a huge infringement on our private lives and personal liberty.

I did pass my course by the way with a grade of 97%. According to them I made two errors. One error I believe is theirs. Here is the question:

Why is building rapport with cases and contacts important for contact tracing? Select all that apply

1. To help them understand that you are in charge

2. To help educate them about SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19

3. To help increase the chances that they will effectively isolate and quarantine.

4. To help collect complete, accurate information from them

I answered that 3 & 4 were correct. They said that I should have also included #2. I believe they are incorrect because educating someone about SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 won’t help me contact trace. It will only let my interrogatees know about the virus.

My other error is most likely my fault. Here is the question:

In the following exchange, which active listening tool is Jacob using: paraphrasing or reflecting?

Contact: Geez, how could I be sick? I’ve been doing everything I can to avoid this. You’ve got to be kidding me!”

Jacob: You’re angry that you spent time nearby someone with coronavirus and upset that this is happening.

1. Paraphrasing

2. Reflecting

I said Jacob was paraphrasing when supposedly he was reflecting. To me they are the same thing. It’s just repeating back what the other person said. I know I lack the empathy needed to discern between the two. The distinctions are subtle to me.

What they call paraphrasing and reflecting I call annoying parroting. I don’t need someone to validate what I just said. I find it patronizing and quite frankly full of bullshit.

Here’s my certificate by the way.

I wonder what this gig pays?

Categories
Thoughts

LA Times finally wakes up and realizes that collapsing economies do more harm than viruses

How are the United States and other developed nations supposed to help when we’ve shut down our economies? As many fathers scream at their children, “Money doesn’t grow on trees!”

Born and raised in Brazil’s drought-ridden northeast, she moved with her partner to Rio de Janeiro in 2018, in search of work. He was hired as a janitor; she began selling meals on the street, and soon they were bringing in $280 a month — enough to start saving to one day build a house back home.

The novel coronavirus pushed that dream out of reach. Lima, who has diabetes and heart problems, putting her at higher risk of dying if she contracts the virus, stopped working once the pandemic took hold in her sprawling slum, known as the City of God.

Now it seems that if the coronavirus doesn’t kill her, hunger may.

“We have to pay the rent, and we don’t have the money,” said Lima, 48. “I haven’t even been able to buy beans.”

The economic devastation the pandemic wreaks on the ultra-poor could ultimately kill more people than the virus itself.

The United Nations predicts that a global recession will reverse a three-decade trend in rising living standards and plunge as many as 420 million people into extreme poverty, defined as earning less than $2 a day.

As for the 734 million people already there, the economic tsunami will make it harder for them to ever climb out.

LA Times