Kevin Bae

Non-Social in a Socially Networked World

It’s official COVID-19 mania will never end

You gotta love the experts. We’ll never reach paradise because rubes like me don’t want to “take the jab”. The ever elusive herd immunity will never arrive.

Now, more than half of adults in the United States have been inoculated with at least one dose of a vaccine. But daily vaccination rates are slipping, and there is widespread consensus among scientists and public health experts that the herd immunity threshold is not attainable — at least not in the foreseeable future, and perhaps not ever.

Instead, they are coming to the conclusion that rather than making a long-promised exit, the virus will most likely become a manageable threat that will continue to circulate in the United States for years to come, still causing hospitalizations and deaths but in much smaller numbers.

New York Times

I’m sorry but I’m still not convinced.

What’s the infection rate of SARS-CoV-2? This is the best thing I’ve found from October 2020. According to this limited study only 12% get infected.

We demonstrated a seroprevalence of 12% (51 participants of 431). Of 48 seropositive individuals with full symptom data, nine (19%) were fully asymptomatic, and 16 (27%) were asymptomatic for core COVID-19 symptoms: fever, cough or anosmia. Specificity of anosmia for seropositivity was 95%, compared to 88% for fever cough and anosmia combined. 34 individuals in the cohort were predicted to be Covid-19 positive using the App algorithm, and of those, 18 (52%) were seropositive.

The Unites States has about 330 million people. About 78% of the population is over the age of 18. 78% of 330 million is 257,400,000. Half of U.S. adults are vaccinated with at least one “jab”. 50% of 257,400,000 million is 128,700,000. Using the numbers from that study 12% of the unvaccinated adults can get infected. 12% of 128,700,000 is 15,444,000. Using other numbers from previous reports in the news over 99.5% of people that do get infected recover. 99.5% of 15,444,000 is 15,366,780. That means 77,220 additional people could possibly die from COVID-19.

Are we willing to continue this madness for what seems to be now nothing more than a flu season? If we believe everything coming out of the government and grant the notion the pandemic was as serious as the numbers they report shouldn’t we now just open up if we trust the numbers they report now?

The madness has to end some time. But I fear government is drunk on control.